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Title page 1
Contents 4
About the Author 5
Executive Summary 6
Introduction 6
Framing Section 7
Technical Section 12
Targeting Primarily Civilian Populations 16
Targeting Military Personnel and Operations 20
Scenario: Information Warfare on Biological Threats 23
Legal Section and Concluding Thoughts 26
Works Cited 31
Boxes 10
Box 1. Primary Strategic Terms and Scope 10
Box 2. Glossary 11
Box 3. Information Operations and Their Harmful Impact on Specific Groups 13
Box 4. Reverberating Impacts on Vulnerable Groups 25
Box 5. Recruiting Youth in Information Warfare 28
Modern conflicts involve the weaponization of information and the manipulation of human behaviours. Artificial intelligence (AI) and its integration into individuals’ daily lives promises to augment, accelerate, but also complicate these trends. Two important shifts will help us understand this emerging warfare for what it truly is: an attack on humanity itself.
AI is making information warfare more powerful and more accessible. Generative AI combined with data capture provides new techniques to industrialize the offensive use of disinformation. In addition, the integration of generative AI with other powerful technologies complexifies the potential of information warfare. What is at stake is the weaponization of dual-use knowledge itself.
Generative AI is already learning to democratize military and civilian expertise in technological domains as complex as AI, neuro-, nano- and biotechnology. Such capacity will provide both state and non-state actors with access to knowledge and mentorship related to impactful technologies. This diffusion of power will change the nature of information and physical warfare, increasing dual-use knowledge asymmetries between threat actors in conflicts.
There is an urgent need to prepare for misuse scenarios that harness technological convergence. New converging risks will bring collective security challenges that are not well understood or anticipated globally.
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