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Title page 1

Contents 4

Executive Summary 7

I. Introduction: Can Militaries Innovate their Way out of the Climate Challenge? 12

Missions and Emissions 13

Climate Impacts on Mission 14

Military Emissions Impacting Climate 19

The Potential and Promise of Military Innovation and Investment 23

Outline of this Report 27

II. The Evolving Character of War: Leveraging Low-carbon Technologies in a Changing Operational Environment 30

Introduction 30

Rationale: Integrating strong and green 34

Technological innovation for military operations 37

Low-carbon technologies 39

Artificial intelligence and automation 50

Information technology 53

Space technology and satellites 55

Ensuring operational effectiveness in a new strategic environment: Six vignettes 57

Conclusion and policy recommendations 64

III. The Infrastructure Energy Transition as a Priority for Military Decarbonization Strategies 69

Improving energy management through energy consumption tracking 70

Decarbonized energy supply 72

Decarbonized energy production capacities 75

Microgrids 82

Storage capacities 86

Heating 91

Mobility 94

The holistic approach 95

An opportunity for the military to lead 98

Challenges to the energy transition of infrastructure 99

Lack of financial resources 99

Lack of qualified personnel 100

Lack of data on GHG emissions 100

Recommendations 103

Facilitate the renewable energy supply and production of militaries 103

Set quantified targets for infrastructure decarbonization 104

Finance the military energy transition 105

Strengthen training and awareness courses 106

Conclusion 106

IV. Sustainable Security: Reducing Emissions in Military Supply Chains 109

Introduction 109

What are the sources of emissions and approaches to measuring them? 111

Examples of how supply chains are covered in national reporting 115

Examples of how the Defense Industry reports on the emissions of its Supply Chain 118

Interconnectivity in the field and questions of who owns what emissions 122

Where is the greatest potential for innovation? 123

Strategic Partnerships and Ecosystem Collaboration 127

Procurement: A Catalyst for Innovation 129

Investment in R&D and expanded vehicles for fund allocation 130

Pressures and incentives for innovation by the European Union, NATO and the United States 131

EU initiatives 131

NATO 136

Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) and Other US Initiatives 138

How can defense unlock innovation potential? 139

V. Conclusion 144

Tables 41

Table 1. Structure of US and EU operational emissions 41

Table 2. Emerging security dynamics in a changing climate and the role of innovative technologies 58

Figures 78

III. The Infrastructure Energy Transition as a Priority for Military Decarbonization Strategies 78

Figure 1. Renewable capacity growth by technology, main and accelerated cases, 2005-2028 78

Figure 2. Installed offshore and onshore wind energy capacity in Europe (GW), 2022 79

Figure 3. Regional shares of manufacturing capacity of selected clean technologies, 2021 80

Figure 4. Base topology of energy system representing a military site as an RES energy hub 90

Figure 5. EDA's Energy Defence Data Collection Analysis and Sharing-heating sources and current trends 92

Figure 6. INDY Energy Cycle for Deployable Military Camps 97

Figure 7. INDY's quantified targets 97

Figure 8. DoD's Scope 1 and 2 GHG emissions over time (the 2008 baseline plus the 2010-2021 reported values) 101

IV. Sustainable Security: Reducing Emissions in Military Supply Chains 112

Figure 1. This figure depicts the classification of scope 1, 2, and 3 emissionsas outlined in the GHG protocol. It has been adapted to better illustrate what emissions... 112

Figure 2. the share of emissions that various categories account for in the Norwegian reporting on scope 3 emissions. Values are in CO₂-equivalent and measured in tons 118

Figure 3. percentage of scope-3 emissions from Thales in 2021 that occurred either upstream or downstream 119