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Title page 1

Contents 4

CONTRIBUTING INSTITUTIONS TO ETNC 6

LIST OF AUTHORS 9

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 12

INTRODUCTION: NATIONAL PERSPECTIVES ON US-CHINA RIVALRY 14

EU: INCREASED US HOSTILITY OPENS WINDOW FOR WARMER EU-CHINA RELATIONS 33

AUSTRIA REASSESSES ITS ROLE AMID US-CHINA RIVALRY 40

BELGIUM: MADE IN CHINA, SECURED BY THE US? BELGIUM'S TRADE AND SECURITY DILEMMA 49

CZECHIA: FIRM ADHERENCE TO THE WEST AGAINST CHINA 56

DENMARK: ALIENATED BY BEIJING, FORSAKEN BY WASHINGTON AND DRAWN TO BRUSSELS 65

ESTONIA: BACKING TRANSATLANTICISM, COOL ON CHINA 74

FRANCE: BETTING ON EUROPE WHILE MANAGING US-CHINA COMPETITION 83

GERMANY: TRUMP'S POLICIES AND THE US-CHINA CONFLICT PRESENT HISTORIC CHALLENGES 90

GREECE: CLOSE TO WASHINGTON, ON GOOD TERMS WITH BEIJING 99

HUNGARY: THE BIG GAMBLE 107

IRELAND BETWEEN GIANTS: DUBLIN'S STRATEGY FOR SURVIVING US-CHINA TENSIONS 113

ITALY AND THE US-CHINA GREAT POWER COMPETITION 123

LATVIAN VIEWS ON THE DETERIORATING US-CHINA RELATIONSHIP 131

LITHUANIA: THE PITFALLS OF LEANING FULLY ON ONE SIDE? 138

THE NETHERLANDS: OPEN BUT PROTECTIVE IN MANAGING US-PRC COMPETITION 147

POLAND: CLOSER (YET) TO THE US AND FURTHER FROM CHINA 159

PORTUGAL: PRAGMATISM IN UNCERTAIN TIMES 167

ROMANIA: EMBRACING THE US AND GHOSTING CHINA 174

SLOVAKIA: DOMESTIC TURMOIL MEETS GEOPOLITICAL CLASH 182

SLOVENIA: WITHIN EUROPE, BENEATH THE RADAR 192

SPAIN'S PRAGMATIC DIPLOMACY IN THE US-CHINA RIVALRY 201

SWEDEN'S PREFERENCE: MEETING THE CHINA CHALLENGE WITH THE EU AND THE US 211

UK: STILL LOOKING ACROSS THE ATLANTIC 219

Figures 20

Figure 1. Evolution of European trade value in goods with China and the US 2018-2023 20

Figure 2. Evolution of European FDI (stock) position with China and the US, % of total, 2017-2022 22

Figure 3. Engagement with the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) 25

Figure 4. Regulatory Approaches and Chinese Vendor Presence in EU 5G Networks 27

Figure 5. Attitudes towards strengthening dual use export restrictions 29

Figure 6. Attitudes towards strengthening controls on outward FDI 29

Figure 7. Approach to the concept of "strategic autonomy" 31

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