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Title page 1
Contents 3
Introduction 4
Background 4
Research question 4
Key findings summary 5
Methodology 6
Scenario-based workshops 6
Interviews with officials and experts 6
Part I: Russian intent 7
Russia's hybrid campaign of aggression 7
The psychological value of chemical and biological weapons 7
Challenging norms-and NATO 8
The escalatory dilemma 9
Part II: Deterrence 11
Deterrence can yield powerful results 11
The role of attribution in deterring CBRN use 11
Preparedness and resilience are essential 12
Capability development and deployment 12
Exercises and training 12
Whole-of-society resilience 12
Wielding the information space 13
Be cautious of setting red lines 13
Diplomacy as a deterrent 14
Part III: Response 15
Ensure broad awareness of CBRN threats 15
Expand CBRN training to the total force 15
Better integrate military and civilian components 15
Leverage NATO for coordination and capabilities 15
Consider the information domain 17
Integrating deterrence and response 17
Key findings and recommendations 17
Conclusion 20
Appendix A. Acronym list 21
Appendix B. Workshop participants 21
Appendix C. Exercise methodology 22
Scenario-based workshop: background story 22
Team A: Chemical attack in 2030 22
Team B: Biological attack in 2030 23
Appendix D. Interview participants 24
Appendix E. Biographies and acknowledgments 25
Principal investigator biography 25
Author biographies 25
Acknowledgments 26
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