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Title page 1
Contents 12
Acknowledgement 5
Executive summary 6
Introduction 13
The rise of autonomous warfare 16
Unmanned platforms 17
Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) 17
Unmanned Surface Vehicles (USVs) 22
Unmanned Ground Vehicles (UGVs) 25
Electronic warfare 28
Artificial Intelligence 30
Muddling through battlefield transparency: the C4ISR revolution 37
Space-based technologies for the Ukrainian battlefield 37
SATCOM and the Internet of the battlefield 37
PNT and GNSS navigation 42
Role of space-based ISR 42
Combat software and the march towards integration 43
Weapons systems software 44
Situational awareness and information management 46
Toward a combat management architecture? 48
Deep fighting: air and missile defense and deep precision strikes 50
Air and missile defense 50
C-UAV evolution 51
Deep rear UAVs and C-UAV evolution 53
The Salvo competition: an economic approach to air defense 59
Deep strike capabilities 63
Asymmetric deep strikes: from occasional to sustained campaign 63
Conventional deep strikes: Ukraine's missile options, constraints, and strategic trade-offs 65
Conclusion 70
Tables 20
Table 1. UAV evolution 2022 vs 2025 of contact line drones 20
Table 2. Illustrative outcomes and technologies 24
Table 3. Main UGV Types deployed in Ukraine 27
Charts 19
Chart 1. The growth of FPV production in Ukraine 19
Chart 2. Estimated Starlink terminals deployed to Ukraine since 2022 39
Chart 3. Estimated unit cost of selected Russian UAVs 55
Chart 4. Growth in Russian use of Shahed drones against Ukraine 59
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